Skip to main content

The GOP's Weaknesses are More Apparent than its Strengths

 

Anyone who’s paying attention now understands that this election is a whole lot scarier than it ever should have been. It’s a shame — and an indictment of our constitutional system — that it comes down to an election at all.

Surely, the Trump problem should have been settled by now, with no further elections required to get him out of our lives. His crimes were such that the real crime was letting him remain at large. All those checks and balances we were taught to revere should have somehow found a way to rid us of this monster.

But the Supreme Court seems to have Trump’s back, though it’s not clear what that gains them. If anything, it makes one wonder what Trump is holding over them, and what might happen to their families if they don’t keep him out of prison.

So it will come down to the election, and the lines couldn’t be drawn more indelibly.

I prefer to think this can work out well — that these scorched-earth hacks can be overwhelmed at the ballot box and thrown out of office. We might even look forward to it, if the mere thought of that monster taking back the White House didn’t plague our dreams.

But here’s the good news. Plaguing our dreams is all he has. He, and the party that bows to him, have nothing to offer except unending deception and unfounded fear.

It’s hard to look at the current state of the Republican party and not be struck by the sheer ineptitude. They are coming from weakness across the board, and the broad scope of their vulnerabilities is both shocking and heartening.

They were already reeling, even before the Dobbs decision. But now abortion-related issues have them on the ropes. Even in deep red states, every Republican running for high office must now defend a position that three-quarters of the population viscerally detests. Their party has lost every meaningful election since Dobbs.

So they’re playing a bad hand, and they know it. But instead of playing it well — instead of regrouping, rethinking, or thinking at all — they insist on doubling down on everything that’s not working.

They announce outrageous plans for Trump’s second coming. They release Project 2025, their 900-page guide to Hungarian-style theocracy. They openly recruit fellow fascists to gut the civil service and take over the government. And they provide most of the talking points Trump lays out in his now-famous Time magazine interview from last week. Think of it as Trump’s Mein Kampf.

Jimmy Kimmel gives a much better account of it than I could, but the gist is that there is no idea so racist, misogynist, xenophobic, homophobic, socially corrosive, environmentally irresponsible, economically suicidal — or all of the above — that Trump can’t fall in love with. Or that Republicans can’t fall in line with.

But before we get too terrified in the face of this motley coup, let’s remember, once again, that these people are all shameless liars. Trump has taught them to lie with fluency and conviction, and to never admit they’re wrong. Lies are now the very definition of the party.

So when they publicly proclaim their sinister plans, there is no reason to believe any of it. They aren’t capable conspirators, they’re just lying. Yes, we can believe that they hold these thirteenth-century values, but do they really have the chops to move beyond empty threats and feckless fear-mongering?

If they thought they could actually do what they say they want to do, they wouldn’t be talking about it. They’d be working on it, presumably under the radar. Isn’t that Coup Plots 101?

Instead, they’re broadcasting their plans, presumably attracting the attention of the Justice Department. And they are not behaving like a party interested in winning anything.

By the time of the Republican convention in August, Trump will almost certainly be a convicted felon. They’ll nominate him anyway. Is that coming from strength?

Whatever the ultimate outcome, the current trial in New York is devastating for Trump — politically, financially, psychologically — and it will likely last at least two more weeks. New and increasingly salacious revelations will be dropping almost daily, each one another ad for Joe Biden.

Then there’s the extraordinary lethargy of the Trump campaign. Short of his demented rallies — which reach an infinitesmal percentage of the electorate — there isn’t much Trump presence anywhere but in court. There’s no visible campaign manager, few party offices in swing states, and not much discernible ground game. The campaign doesn’t seem to exist in any meaningful way.

I live in one of those swing states, and my local news station has been running Biden ads for months. I’ve still not seen a single commercial for Trump, or for any Republican.

But just because there’s no visible campaign, don’t think there’s no money being raised. Trump is as adept as ever at bilking the rubes, whose numbers now include the entire Republican National Committee.

Most of what’s raised by the RNC now goes through Trump’s own people, and his skim off the top is substantial. The money goes first to his massive legal bills, then to whatever is pretending to be his campaign. If there’s anything left for down-ballot candidates, they’ll have to beg for it.

So even as the Democratic party becomes a fundraising juggernaut, the RNC is reportedly in dire financial straits, up and down their ticket. This has ripple effects. The experienced professionals — the guys who actually know how to run campaigns — are getting shoved aside and replaced by cheaper but clueless hacks. The party is being purged of competence.

I could go on about the vulnerabilities. About the clown caucus in the House. About “candidate quality,” which is so much worse than when McConnell coined the phrase in 2022. About how many of their key people in swing states are currently under indictment. There’s a long list of Biden ads still waiting to be written.

But yes, it will come down to the election, and the stakes are far higher than they should be. That said, it’s thrilling to see how badly Republicans, from Trump down, are mismanaging their electoral prospects.

They seem to be hurting. How can we make it worse?

Comments

  1. Whatever is going to happen probably won't become totally apparent until the September - October time frame. Far too many people change their minds based on the current news cycle. The social media algorithms own them.

    ReplyDelete
  2. "The Party is being Purged of Competence", Quote of the week. Keep up the good work.

    ReplyDelete
  3. I'm sure the Rs would rather win office this year the old-fashioned way, by winning the election. Less risk that way. But you can't ignore all the evidence that they also have a backup plan of winning office "by other means", to paraphrase Clausewitz.

    ReplyDelete

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Decents, Deplorables, and the Conditional Mood

  F or my next trick, I’d like to indulge in a linguistic conceit of sorts. I’d like to use the current political nightmare to speculate about a matter of grammar, of all things, that has long intrigued me: Namely, why do so many languages codify the conditional mood — also known as the conditional tense — in their grammar? Why do we use ‘should,’ ‘could,’ and especially ‘would,’ in so much of our speech? Why do we hedge our conversations this way? Why is it more acceptable to say “I would like a cup of coffee” than “Give me a cup of coffee.” Why is one deferential and the other pushy? Why has history passed down this polite form to multiple language groups, in such a similar way? Why is it bad form to use “I want” in a non-confrontational situation? And why does the MAGA crowd insist on such bad form? I have a speculative answer to these questions, but first let me cavalierly divide the world into two groups of people: Decents and Deplorables . Goods ...

Zohran Mamdani is Not Coming to Eat Your Children

  L et’s be clear about one thing. A Democrat is a Democrat. We have neither the time nor the bandwidth to split policy hairs when the country is being burned to the ground. The only thing we need to know about any Democrat is that they’re not Republican. The media would have us believe there’s some deep chasm between “moderate” Democrats and “progressive” Democrats. They talk about “leftists,” as if there’s some diabolical cabal of radicals planning to turn the whole country gay and woke. They talk about “centrist Democrats” as if they just disagree with Trump on an issue or two. All Democrats share some core beliefs, even if they never think about them, even if they take them for granted. Rule of law. Reproductive rights. Civil rights for all. Healthcare for all. Strong safety net. A few others. Republicans, for the most part, want these things as well, but they’ve been brainwashed into thinking otherwise. Still, the legacy media continues to outdo itself ...

Uncertainty is Ready for its Closeup

E very day, we learn a little more about the way the Trump junta operates. We might sum it up with the phrase “Shoot first, ask questions later,” but this is not entirely accurate. They do indeed shoot first, mostly with executive orders that are breathtaking in their over-reach, malicious intent, and criminal shortsightedness. But they don’t so much ask questions later, as they send stupid lawyers into court to defend stupefyingly illegal behavior. They tend to fail, but even in failure, the confusion they create works wonders for them. On what must be several dozen fronts since January, MAGA operatives looking to subvert the government have done so, first by launching whatever harebrained scheme they’ve come up with, then by watching for the fallout. The fallout could be in the form of a court ruling, or howls of protest from the victims, or even from Democrats calling them out. But the point is that they depend on that first launch to shake things up, to flo...